SoIA
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2026

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Evidence

Every passage tagged in the report. [V] was checked against a fetched source, [V-s] against a search extract, [R] is established reporting that was not re-checked, and [U] is unconfirmed or contested.

238 claims

  1. [V][V-s][R][U]

    Direction 7 has 142 / 28 / 7 / 17 tagged item by item, so the totals are not strictly comparable.

    Changelog (v9 → v10, 17 Oct 2026)October 2026
  2. [U]

    - Chile Cerrillos: the "no review needed" outcome is not visible in the SEIA record, so it is now

    Changelog (v9 → v10, 17 Oct 2026)October 2026
  3. [V][V-s][R][U]

    Brazil-section labels went from 1 / 37 / 8 / 2 to 78 / 23 / 5 / 2.

    Changelog (v8 → v9, 17 Oct 2026)October 2026
  4. [V]

    - Upgrades: Pentagon US$750m to the Serra Verde SPV, now via the SEC 8-K; most Master, STF and Abin items now

    Changelog (v8 → v9, 17 Oct 2026)October 2026
  5. [V-s]

    - Re-fetch pass: each source was retried with direct curl (25s limit), then Wayback Machine snapshots, then WebFetch.

    Changelog (v2 → v3)October 2026
  6. [V]

    Lines whose every source loaded in full and contained the claim were upgraded to

    Changelog (v2 → v3)October 2026
  7. [V-s]

    Sources still blocked (Reuters 401; Politico, The Hill and parts of AP 403 or timeout; archive.ph rate-limited at 429) keep

    Changelog (v2 → v3)October 2026
  8. [V][V-s]

    - Upgraded to /: - Vance–Yarvin quote (exact wording, from a court-filed transcript) - Thiel's $15M to Protect Ohio Values (FEC/OpenSecrets dates) and the $15M→$20M to Masters's PAC - Andreessen's "patron saints" list, which does name Nick Land, and Ray Kurzweil - Trump's Ohel visit (7 Oct 2024) - ICC sanctions (EO 14203, Khan, judges) - Iran strikes (22 June 2025, Operation Midnight Hammer) - Red heifer import (Sept 2022, Texas, Boneh Israel) - Hegseth–CREC (AP) - Epstein schedule entries (WSJ…

    Changelog (v1 → v2)October 2026
  9. [V]

    Calls himself a "small-o orthodox Christian" (Guardian)

    2.1 Peter ThielOctober 2026
  10. [V]

    It's someone like Greta or Eliezer." (15 Sept) (Straits Times/WaPo) - He called critics "legionnaires of the Antichrist" (WaPo)

    2.1 Peter ThielOctober 2026
  11. [V]

    - He told Musk his Giving Pledge money would go "to left-wing nonprofits that will be chosen by Bill Gates" (Reuters)

    2.1 Peter ThielOctober 2026
  12. [V]

    - Later series: - Itinerary: San Francisco (Sept–Oct 2025), Paris (January 2026) Rome (March 2026 where Catholic commentators and Italian politicians pushed back), then Nashville (Fortune)

    2.1 Peter ThielOctober 2026
  13. [V]

    Quote: "There's one existential risk that nobody seems to want to discuss … the risk of a totalitarian one-world government." (Nashville Scene) - Remaining talks: "The End of Empire" (Oct 5), "Velocity of Antichrist" (Oct 12), "New Rome" (Oct 19)

    2.1 Peter ThielOctober 2026
  14. [V]

    - From recordings of the Sept 28 and Oct 5 Nashville talks obtained by Politico, as quoted by Fortune - "Many people know that AI is politically unpopular and want to leverage that to boost their own popularity.

    2.1 Peter ThielOctober 2026
  15. [V]

    Obama knows the Democrats have no ideas, but they can at least oppose AI." - On Pope Leo, whose first encyclical Magnifica Humanitas is about AI: "He needed something politically popular to distract from the church's child sex abuse scandals, and he found it in AI." - Effective altruism "has brainwashed a significant portion of the people working on AI." - Fortune also notes that Thiel is now out of step with AI CEOs: Altman and Musk publicly backed Dario Amodei's call (Sept 2026) to slow…

    2.1 Peter ThielOctober 2026
  16. [V]

    - Political money: - $15M to Protect Ohio Values PAC for Vance: $10M on 12 Mar 2021, $3.5M on 18 Apr 2022, $1.5M on 25 Apr 2022 (OpenSecrets, Politico)

    2.1 Peter ThielOctober 2026
  17. [V]

    - At least $200K more to the same PAC through his dark-money group Per Aspera Policy (CBS)

    2.1 Peter ThielOctober 2026
  18. [V-s]

    - $15M to Saving Arizona PAC for Blake Masters, rising to about $20M (Politico, OpenSecrets)

    2.1 Peter ThielOctober 2026
  19. [V]

    - State contracts: ICE paid Palantir $30M for "ImmigrationOS" (April 2025, runs to Sept 2027) (Wired, USAspending)

    2.1 Peter ThielOctober 2026
  20. [V]

    Tlon said Thiel wasn't personally involved (The Verge)

    2.1 Peter ThielOctober 2026
  21. [V-s]

    It invested in Praxis's seed round (with Joe Lonsdale and others) and in a later round (archive of the Praxis seed announcement, CB Insights)

    2.1 Peter ThielOctober 2026
  22. [R]

    Pronomos and Próspera are there's widely reported overlap, but I didn't re-check it this pass.

    2.1 Peter ThielOctober 2026
  23. [V-s]

    - New Zealand: - Citizenship came in 2011 after only 12 days in the country, under "exceptional circumstances." In his application he wrote that NZ "aligns more with my view of the future" (NZ Herald, NYT)

    2.1 Peter ThielOctober 2026
  24. [V]

    - His Wānaka lodge was refused by commissioners in Aug 2022, and the Environment Court dismissed his appeal in May 2024 (NZ Herald, ODT)

    2.1 Peter ThielOctober 2026
  25. [V]

    The book names NZ a "domicile of choice" (Guardian 2018)

    2.1 Peter ThielOctober 2026
  26. [V]

    Formerly at Thiel's Mithril Capital (from 2017, per CBS)

    2.2 JD VanceOctober 2026
  27. [V]

    - Yarvin: on Jack Murphy's podcast (Sept 2021), from a transcript filed in federal court (CourtListener exhibit; also Vox, The Verge) - "there's this guy, Curtis Yarvin, who's written about some of these things." - "fire every single mid-level bureaucrat, every civil servant in the administrative state, replace them with our people.

    2.2 JD VanceOctober 2026
  28. [V]

    - Policy: in Paris (11 Feb 2025) he said "excessive regulation of the AI sector could kill a transformative industry just as it's taking off" (American Presidency Project, AP)

    2.2 JD VanceOctober 2026
  29. [V-s]

    - Yarvin: neo-reactionary who wants a CEO-monarch and coined "the Cathedral." RAGE dates to 2012 (The Verge, above)

    2.3 Curtis Yarvin and Nick LandOctober 2026
  30. [V]

    - Land: "The Dark Enlightenment," a multi-part online essay from March to December 2012, systematized Yarvin's neocameralism and "exit" (text)

    2.3 Curtis Yarvin and Nick LandOctober 2026
  31. [V]

    Marinetti (who later co-wrote the Fascist Manifesto), Nietzsche and John Galt, plus @BasedBeffJezos (a16z)

    2.4 Kurzweil and the AI industryOctober 2026
  32. [R]

    - Kurzweil: predicts AGI by 2029 and the Singularity by 2045 ( The Singularity Is Nearer 2024)

    2.4 Kurzweil and the AI industryOctober 2026
  33. [V-s]

    - Stargate: announced at the White House on 21 Jan 2025 by OpenAI, SoftBank, Oracle and MGX, up to $500B (OpenAI, AP)

    2.4 Kurzweil and the AI industryOctober 2026
  34. [V]

    - Federal AI policy: - "America's AI Action Plan" (July 2025) ties AI-related federal funds to states not having "burdensome" AI rules (PDF)

    2.4 Kurzweil and the AI industryOctober 2026
  35. [V]

    - EO 14363 "Launching the Genesis Mission" (24 Nov 2025), a DOE-led AI-for-science platform (whitehouse.gov)

    2.4 Kurzweil and the AI industryOctober 2026
  36. [V]

    - EO 14365 "Ensuring a National Policy Framework for Artificial Intelligence" (11 Dec 2025) creates an AG task force to challenge state AI laws and adds funding restrictions (whitehouse.gov, Federal Register)

    2.4 Kurzweil and the AI industryOctober 2026
  37. [V]

    He posted that Trump was "in the Epstein files," then deleted the post (CNN, Time)

    2.4 Kurzweil and the AI industryOctober 2026
  38. [V-s]

    - Ties: the Kushner family foundation gave about $342K to Chabad causes (Forward)

    2.5 Jared Kushner and ChabadOctober 2026
  39. [V]

    Former ambassador David Friedman organised it (JTA, AP photos, Ynet)

    2.5 Jared Kushner and ChabadOctober 2026
  40. [V-s]

    - Gaza: - The "Riviera" proposal echoed Kushner's 2024 waterfront remarks (Reuters)

    2.5 Jared Kushner and ChabadOctober 2026
  41. [V]

    - Kushner and Witkoff met Hamas directly to seal the Oct 2025 ceasefire (Axios, Guardian)

    2.5 Jared Kushner and ChabadOctober 2026
  42. [V-s]

    - Both later sat on the executive board of the "Board of Peace," which governs Gaza's transition (Jan 2026)

    2.5 Jared Kushner and ChabadOctober 2026
  43. [V]

    Mnuchin's fund got $1B on cheaper terms (NYT full text)

    2.5 Jared Kushner and ChabadOctober 2026
  44. [V]

    The Senate Finance chair later probed the payments (letter)

    2.5 Jared Kushner and ChabadOctober 2026
  45. [R]

    Scholarship: Berger (2001), Heilman & Friedman ( The Rebbe Princeton 2010)

    2.5 Jared Kushner and ChabadOctober 2026
  46. [V]

    - Polling: white evangelicals said Israel fulfils Second Coming prophecy (63%, 2003) and that God gave Israel to the Jews (82%, 2013, a higher share than US Jews) (Pew 2003, Pew 2013)

    2.6 Christian Zionism and the evangelical blocOctober 2026
  47. [V]

    Of a West Bank Palestinian state: "there's no room for it" (Times of Israel)

    2.6 Christian Zionism and the evangelical blocOctober 2026
  48. [V]

    - Hegseth: - Secretary of Defense, with the secondary title "Secretary of War" under EO 14347 (Federal Register)

    2.6 Christian Zionism and the evangelical blocOctober 2026
  49. [V]

    - 2018: "there's no reason why the miracle of the reestablishment of the Temple on the Temple Mount is not possible" (video)

    2.6 Christian Zionism and the evangelical blocOctober 2026
  50. [V]

    - Has "Deus Vult" and Jerusalem Cross tattoos (WSJ)

    2.6 Christian Zionism and the evangelical blocOctober 2026
  51. [V-s]

    - Attends Pilgrim Hill Reformed Fellowship, a church in the CREC network co-founded by Doug Wilson (AP, Politico)

    2.6 Christian Zionism and the evangelical blocOctober 2026
  52. [V]

    - Paula White-Cain: senior advisor to the White House Faith Office (EO 14205, 7 Feb 2025) (whitehouse.gov)

    2.6 Christian Zionism and the evangelical blocOctober 2026
  53. [V]

    - CUFI / John Hagee: claims more than 10M members (Dec 2020; this is the group's own figure) (CUFI)

    2.6 Christian Zionism and the evangelical blocOctober 2026
  54. [V-s]

    Netanyahu's office said policy was unchanged (Times of Israel, Reuters)

    2.7 Israeli religious-nationalist actorsOctober 2026
  55. [V]

    - Red heifers: five were brought from Texas to Israel in Sept 2022 through Boneh Israel for the Temple Institute (Jerusalem Post, Ynet)

    2.7 Israeli religious-nationalist actorsOctober 2026
  56. [V]

    Evangelical settlement fundraising, from groups like HaYovel and CFOIC, was estimated at $50–65M over 10 years (Forward)

    2.7 Israeli religious-nationalist actorsOctober 2026
  57. [R]

    - Smotrich: Finance Minister and settlement authority

    2.7 Israeli religious-nationalist actorsOctober 2026
  58. [V]

    - Tariffs: "Liberation Day," EO 14257 (2 Apr 2025), used IEEPA emergency powers (Federal Register)

    2.8 Trump foreign policy as "might makes right"October 2026
  59. [V-s]

    Trump that IEEPA does not authorize tariffs, striking down the "reciprocal" and "fentanyl" tariffs (opinion, CRS)

    2.8 Trump foreign policy as "might makes right"October 2026
  60. [V-s]

    Refunds run through CBP's CAPE process and litigation in the Court of International Trade continues (CBP, SCOTUSblog)

    2.8 Trump foreign policy as "might makes right"October 2026
  61. [V]

    State then sanctioned four judges (State) and later more, eight in total by summary count

    2.8 Trump foreign policy as "might makes right"October 2026
  62. [V]

    - Iran: Operation Midnight Hammer, 22 June 2025, struck Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan with B-2s, 14 GBU-57 bombs and Tomahawks (AP, BBC)

    2.8 Trump foreign policy as "might makes right"October 2026
  63. [V]

    - Venezuela: a US operation captured Maduro on 3 Jan 2026 (AP)

    2.8 Trump foreign policy as "might makes right"October 2026
  64. [V]

    Greenland's 2021 ban on new oil exploration still stands (Al Jazeera, CNN)

    2.8 Trump foreign policy as "might makes right"October 2026
  65. [V]

    - Panama force not ruled out, and "51st state" remarks about Canada (AP)

    2.8 Trump foreign policy as "might makes right"October 2026
  66. [V]

    - The redaction report appeared in the Federal Register on 27 Aug 2026 (FR)

    2.9 Jeffrey EpsteinOctober 2026
  67. [V-s]

    DOJ Judge Sullivan found redactions unjustified and DOJ appealed (The Hill)

    2.9 Jeffrey EpsteinOctober 2026
  68. [V]

    A Sept 2014 schedule in House Oversight documents names Thiel, Barak and Staley (index)

    2.9 Jeffrey EpsteinOctober 2026
  69. [V-s]

    Barak's lawyer disputes calling the investment "secret" (Haaretz, Forbes, Miami Herald)

    2.9 Jeffrey EpsteinOctober 2026
  70. [V]

    - Intelligence claim: the Daily Beast (2019) quoted Acosta saying Epstein "belonged to intelligence." In his 19 Sept 2025 House Oversight interview, Acosta denied saying it and said no agency approached him (Newsweek)

    2.9 Jeffrey EpsteinOctober 2026
  71. [U]

    - "Occult": no documentary basis was found

    2.9 Jeffrey EpsteinOctober 2026
  72. [U]

    I found no peer-reviewed scholarly assessment

    5. Whitney Webb assessmentOctober 2026
  73. [V]

    She says she meant a specific crime network (Wexner, Bronfmans), not Jews, and calls the conflation itself antisemitic

    5. Whitney Webb assessmentOctober 2026
  74. [V]

    That's 3.7× the Biden-era FY2024 baseline

    Contract flows (USAspending obligations, $M)October 2026
  75. [V-s]

    DoD's announcement says: "Bids were solicited via the internet with one received" (war.gov contracts, 1 Aug 2025, Army)

    Contract flows (USAspending obligations, $M)October 2026
  76. [V]

    - Task orders under it are coded "NOT COMPETED – ONLY ONE SOURCE (FAR 6.302-1)" in USAspending - $637.6M for the CDAO Maven Smart System, Oct 2025 - $145.0M for Army Vantage, Dec 2025 - $114.8M for FORSCOM, Aug 2025 - By contrast, Palantir's Air Force data platform ($116M, 7 offers) and USDA farm-IT ($94.7M) orders were competed.

    Contract flows (USAspending obligations, $M)October 2026
  77. [V]

    Its largest awards since the inauguration are mixed: - Competed: CBP border towers, $363M (Dec 2025), "full and open after exclusion of sources." - Sole-source: JIATF-401 Lattice licences, $142M (Mar 2026), and Navy Altius-600M loitering munitions, $94M (Feb 2025, 1 offer)

    Contract flows (USAspending obligations, $M)October 2026
  78. [V-s]

    - Together about $6.45B (Bloomberg, AeroMorning)

    Contract flows (USAspending obligations, $M)October 2026
  79. [V-s]

    - SpaceX and Anduril are also among 12 firms on 20 space-based interceptor awards worth up to $3.2B (Air & Space Forces)

    Contract flows (USAspending obligations, $M)October 2026
  80. [V-s]

    - Reuters reports Anduril and Palantir are building Golden Dome software (Reuters, Mar 2026)

    Contract flows (USAspending obligations, $M)October 2026
  81. [V-s]

    GSA then gave xAI a OneGov deal at $0.42 per agency for 18 months (GSA)

    Contract flows (USAspending obligations, $M)October 2026
  82. [V]

    The "XAI" matches are unrelated firms (Exail, Xairos), so the awards are OTAs or not yet reported

    Contract flows (USAspending obligations, $M)October 2026
  83. [V]

    Carbyne has no direct federal contracts in USAspending; its contracts were state and local (Miami Herald)

    Contract flows (USAspending obligations, $M)October 2026
  84. [V]

    on 12 Dec 2024 (after giving $360K to the Harris Victory Fund in 2023), then 2025 checks to NRCC/"Grow the Majority" and to Senate-candidate PACs

    Political money (FEC itemized, top records)October 2026
  85. [V]

    In 2026 he gave $852K to "Grow the Majority" (25 Feb 2025) and $1.5M to Club for Growth Action

    Political money (FEC itemized, top records)October 2026
  86. [V]

    Luckey gave $200K to the Trump 47 Committee (June 2024) and to the RNC and Thune

    Political money (FEC itemized, top records)October 2026
  87. [V-s]

    Revolving door ( contracts/revolving ): - Palantir's CTO Shyam Sankar was commissioned an Army Reserve lieutenant colonel (Detachment 201, 13 June 2025), along with executives from OpenAI and Meta (Army)

    Political money (FEC itemized, top records)October 2026
  88. [V-s]

    - OSTP director Kratsios is Thiel's former chief of staff, and AI czar Sacks has invested in Palantir (FedScoop)

    Political money (FEC itemized, top records)October 2026
  89. [V-s]

    - Feinberg (Cerberus) was confirmed Deputy SecDef, and Emil Michael Under Secretary for R&E

    Political money (FEC itemized, top records)October 2026
  90. [V-s]

    DOGE → Palantir: - At least three DOGE members had worked at Palantir, and Palantir's selection as chief vendor for cross-agency data work "was driven by" DOGE (NYT, May 2025, entered into the House record: PDF)

    Political money (FEC itemized, top records)October 2026
  91. [V-s]

    - DOGE and Palantir built an IRS "mega API," with the goal of making Foundry the "read center of all IRS systems" (Wired)

    Political money (FEC itemized, top records)October 2026
  92. [V-s]

    - The IRS stretched an existing criminal-investigations purchase agreement so IT could buy through it without a new procurement (FedScoop)

    Political money (FEC itemized, top records)October 2026
  93. [R]

    report §2.5; for the annexation-suspension detail

    ScorecardOctober 2026
  94. [V-s]

    Reuters, AP, CNN, Reuters Knesset, CNN 2026

    ScorecardOctober 2026
  95. [V-s][U]

    report §§2.6–2.7 for any US statement in 2025–26

    ScorecardOctober 2026
  96. [V-s]

    Huckabee (ambassador), Hegseth (who started a monthly Christian prayer service at the Pentagon in May 2025 with his CREC pastor Brooks Potteiger, and in Feb 2026 invited Doug Wilson to preach) and Paula White-Cain (Faith Office, EO 14205) (CNN 2025, CNN 2026, Military.com)

    Institutions and channelsOctober 2026
  97. [V-s]

    CUFI's Action Fund ran email campaigns urging Huckabee's confirmation (political emails archive)

    Institutions and channelsOctober 2026
  98. [U]

    - CUFI's lobbying spending: the Senate LDA API returned HTTP 503 both times I tried

    Institutions and channelsOctober 2026
  99. [U]

    - NRB and Project 2025's Israel chapter: not researched this pass

    Institutions and channelsOctober 2026
  100. [V-s]

    - A UNC Pembroke/Barna survey of 700 evangelicals aged 18–29 found support for Israel fell from 69% (2018) to 33.6% (2021) 24.3% backed the Palestinians and 42.2% neither (Times of Israel, RNS)

    Opinion base: eroding among the youngOctober 2026
  101. [V-s]

    - A 2024 follow-up found overall evangelical support stable from 2021 to 2024, but under-30s were 47% less likely to strongly support Israel (Beliefnet summary)

    Opinion base: eroding among the youngOctober 2026
  102. [V]

    - Haaretz found about $220M in US tax-exempt money went to settlements in 2009–13, and evangelical fundraising added an estimated $50–65M over 10 years (report §2.7)

    MoneyOctober 2026
  103. [V-s]

    - The Jan 2025 revocation of EO 14115 removed settler sanctions

    MoneyOctober 2026
  104. [U]

    - Not pulled this pass: the specific 990s for Central Fund of Israel, Hebron Fund, Friends of Ir David and the Temple Institute's US arm

    MoneyOctober 2026
  105. [V-s]

    A Brazilian court convicted Eduardo in June 2026 of courting US interference (BBC Brasil, openDemocracy, Guardian, Al Jazeera)

    Leads for Direction 6 (Brazil/LatAm)October 2026
  106. [V-s]

    - Jair Bolsonaro's pledge to move Brazil's embassy to Jerusalem was driven by evangelical and neo-charismatic support (BBC Brasil 2019)

    Leads for Direction 6 (Brazil/LatAm)October 2026
  107. [V-s]

    Pronomos portfolio, people, Bloomberg/Medium, Daily Beast

    Project tableOctober 2026
  108. [V-s]

    ICSID case page, PO6, Rio Times, TopDisputes

    Project tableOctober 2026
  109. [V-s]

    The Block, TechCrunch, Montevideo Portal, la diaria

    Project tableOctober 2026
  110. [V-s]

    Reuters exclusive, 10 Apr 2025, USA Today syndication

    Project tableOctober 2026
  111. [V-s]

    CalMatters Jun 2026, CalMatters Aug 2026

    Project tableOctober 2026
  112. [V-s]

    WaPo PDF of the prospectus, WaPo (archive), FT (archive), Guardian, Reuters

    Project tableOctober 2026
  113. [V-s]

    Warren urged the State Department and USTR to back Honduras and drop investor–state arbitration (ISDS) from trade deals (Wired; House-record copy of an NYT piece, PDF)

    Próspera v. Honduras: how sovereignty becomes a debtOctober 2026
  114. [V-s]

    - Garifuna and English-speaking residents of Crawfish Rock oppose the zone, fearing it will expand onto ancestral land (Guardian 2022)

    Próspera v. Honduras: how sovereignty becomes a debtOctober 2026
  115. [V-s]

    Academic and libertarian proposals exist: the Mises Brasil journal's "Prosperity Zones" and an essay imagining a charter city in Rio ("Bossa Nova"), plus the private project Ipê City/Village (Revista Mises, REI)

    Leads for Direction 6 (Brazil/LatAm)October 2026
  116. [V-s]

    Founders Fund partner Joey Krug said the firm had "a habit of checking Polymarket at times of breaking news" (Business Wire, Bloomberg)

    4.1 Prediction marketsOctober 2026
  117. [V-s]

    joined Polymarket as a strategic adviser (26 Aug 2025) (Reuters)

    4.1 Prediction marketsOctober 2026
  118. [V-s]

    - The CFTC cleared Polymarket's US return (3 Sept 2025) after it bought the licensed exchange QCEX for $112M, and issued a no-action letter on reporting requirements (Reuters)

    4.1 Prediction marketsOctober 2026
  119. [V-s]

    - Intercontinental Exchange (ICE, the NYSE owner) committed up to $2B at an approximately $8B pre-money valuation and will distribute Polymarket data to institutions (ICE IR, 7 Oct 2025)

    4.1 Prediction marketsOctober 2026
  120. [R]

    - The DARPA comparison: the 2003 Policy Analysis Market (part of FutureMAP, under Poindexter's Information Awareness Office) let people bet on Middle East events and was cancelled within days after an outcry in Congress

    4.1 Prediction marketsOctober 2026
  121. [U]

    - Not shown: any documented intent to revive PAM, and any government use of Polymarket data for intelligence

    4.1 Prediction marketsOctober 2026
  122. [V-s]

    - Law: the GENIUS Act became Public Law 119-27 on 18 July 2025 (govinfo, Congress.gov)

    4.2 Stablecoins and the GENIUS ActOctober 2026
  123. [V-s]

    - The 2026 proposed rule from FinCEN and OFAC (the Treasury's anti-money-laundering and sanctions arms) would extend block, freeze and reject duties to secondary-market transactions (Sullivan & Cromwell)

    4.2 Stablecoins and the GENIUS ActOctober 2026
  124. [V-s]

    - The anti-CBDC flip side: - The executive order of 23 Jan 2025 prohibits agencies from any action to "establish, issue, or promote CBDCs" and frames CBDCs as threats to "individual privacy" (whitehouse.gov)

    4.2 Stablecoins and the GENIUS ActOctober 2026
  125. [V-s]

    dollars" instead of dirhams (Senate Banking letter)

    4.2 Stablecoins and the GENIUS ActOctober 2026
  126. [R]

    - The dollar-dominance and Treasury-demand rationale is the administration's own (WLF says so explicitly; Bessent's statements weren't fetched ).

    4.2 Stablecoins and the GENIUS ActOctober 2026
  127. [V-s]

    - Satellogic–Palantir: a five-year partnership announced 1 Feb 2022 brings Palantir's Edge AI onto Satellogic satellites ("from space to mud," Shyam Sankar) (Satellogic)

    4.3 Argentina: satellites, AI and StargateOctober 2026
  128. [V-s]

    OpenAI would be an "offtaker," with OpenAI for Countries "starting with the government." Sur Energy's partner quoted is Emiliano Kargieman Satellogic's founder (Sur Energy, Casa Rosada, OpenAI, Reuters)

    4.3 Argentina: satellites, AI and StargateOctober 2026
  129. [U]

    - Milei's AI security unit (UIAAS, July 2024): not verified this pass

    4.3 Argentina: satellites, AI and StargateOctober 2026
  130. [U]

    The SpaceX tie and "predict the future" are unverified

    4.3 Argentina: satellites, AI and StargateOctober 2026
  131. [V-s]

    Palantir's stated position is that it is "not a data company": it says it doesn't collect, store or sell personal data and can't reuse client data (Palantir)

    4.4 Data integrationOctober 2026
  132. [V-s]

    Flock says it removed federal agencies from nationwide lookups and added filters (UW Center for Human Rights, Flock statement)

    4.4 Data integrationOctober 2026
  133. [R]

    Flock is a Founders Fund/a16z portfolio company

    4.4 Data integrationOctober 2026
  134. [U]

    Clearview and the data-broker loophole: not re-researched

    4.4 Data integrationOctober 2026
  135. [V-s]

    It has partnerships with Visa and Match, and Hong Kong regulators earlier ordered it to stop collecting data (World, CNBC)

    4.5 Digital IDOctober 2026
  136. [V-s]

    - Pix in the US trade case: the USTR Section 301 case named "policies that favor its national champion, Pix." It concluded on 20 July 2026 with a 25% tariff on certain Brazilian imports (USTR initiation, Federal Register, USTR fact sheet, docket)

    Leads for Direction 6 (Brazil)October 2026
  137. [U]

    - Drex (the central bank's digital-currency project), Palantir in Brazil and Starlink versus Moraes not found or checked this pass

    Leads for Direction 6 (Brazil)October 2026
  138. [V]

    An item is labelled only where the passage was read in full text.

    Direction 6: Brazil (added v8; full-text verified and expanded v9, 17 Oct 2026)October 2026
  139. [V]

    Folha, 9 Mar 2026 - Over time Master sold about R$22bn in assets to BRB part of them allegedly fabricated.

    6.1 Banco Master / Daniel VorcaroOctober 2026
  140. [V]

    Bloomberg Línea - Sept 2025: the Banco Central (BC) blocks the deal, even though CADE and the DF legislature had approved it.

    6.1 Banco Master / Daniel VorcaroOctober 2026
  141. [V][V-s]

    Valor, 18 Nov 2025; DW/UOL not reachable (403)

    6.1 Banco Master / Daniel VorcaroOctober 2026
  142. [V]

    Valor; Agência Brasil; O Globo - Late Nov 2025: the federal appeals court TRF-1 allows ankle monitors and release home.

    6.1 Banco Master / Daniel VorcaroOctober 2026
  143. [V]

    Poder360 - 12 Feb 2026, Toffoli leaves the case.

    6.1 Banco Master / Daniel VorcaroOctober 2026
  144. [V]

    Folha, 13 Feb 2026; Valor, 12 Feb 2026 - Early Mar 2026: Vorcaro is jailed again and held at the PF Superintendency in Brasília.

    6.1 Banco Master / Daniel VorcaroOctober 2026
  145. [V]

    Poder360; O Globo - By 18 May 2026: six phases completed.

    6.1 Banco Master / Daniel VorcaroOctober 2026
  146. [V]

    Agência Brasil - Plea deal (delação): the PF (11 Jun) and the PGR (15 Jun 2026) rejected his second proposal.

    6.1 Banco Master / Daniel VorcaroOctober 2026
  147. [V]

    Poder360; O Globo - CPMI (joint congressional inquiry): it had enough signatures, and creation is automatic under the rules, but Congress president Alcolumbre did not install it.

    6.1 Banco Master / Daniel VorcaroOctober 2026
  148. [V]

    g1, 14 May 2026 - Pension funds (RPPS): 18 state and municipal institutes put R$1.8bn into Master letras financeiras (not FGC-covered) between Oct 2023 and Dec 2024.

    6.1 Banco Master / Daniel VorcaroOctober 2026
  149. [V]

    Folha, 19 Nov 2025; Folha, 8 Jan 2026; Folha, 9 Mar

    6.1 Banco Master / Daniel VorcaroOctober 2026
  150. [V][V-s]

    Câmara; g1; Bloomberg Línea; O Globo, 11 Sept; g1, 17 Oct

    6.1 Banco Master / Daniel VorcaroOctober 2026
  151. [V-s]

    Folha, 14 May; BBC Brasil; CNN Brasil; g1, 17 Oct

    6.1 Banco Master / Daniel VorcaroOctober 2026
  152. [V]

    g1, 1 Sept; O Globo, 11 Sept; Bloomberg Línea

    6.1 Banco Master / Daniel VorcaroOctober 2026
  153. [V]

    STF; Folha - Custody history: - Aug 2025: preventive house arrest.

    6.2 Bolsonaro family and democracyOctober 2026
  154. [V]

    STF, 24 Mar 2026; BBC Brasil; Valor - Sentence-reduction bill ("Dosimetria"): the Chamber passed it on 10 Dec 2025.

    6.2 Bolsonaro family and democracyOctober 2026
  155. [V]

    BBC Brasil; Gazeta do Povo - US pressure and partial retreat: - 9 Jul 2025: Trump's 50% tariff letter.

    6.2 Bolsonaro family and democracyOctober 2026
  156. [V-s]

    White House; g1 - Magnitsky sanctions: Moraes (Jul) and his wife (Sept 2025).

    6.2 Bolsonaro family and democracyOctober 2026
  157. [V]

    BBC Brasil - The US Supreme Court later struck down the IEEPA order.

    6.2 Bolsonaro family and democracyOctober 2026
  158. [V]

    Valor, 29 Jul 2026 - After talks failed, Trump said he "doesn't care" about Lula, whom he called "volatile".

    6.2 Bolsonaro family and democracyOctober 2026
  159. [V]

    (as reported in Folha Ilustríssima) - Eduardo Bolsonaro: - Moved to the US in Feb/Mar 2025; his leave ended 21 Jul 2025.

    6.2 Bolsonaro family and democracyOctober 2026
  160. [V]

    Câmara Mesa Act; Câmara - Convicted unanimously by the STF First Panel on 16 Jun 2026 (AP 2782) of coercion in the course of proceedings: 4 years 2 months, semi-open regime 50 day-fines, ineligibility until 8 years after the sentence is served, and loss of his PF clerk post.

    6.2 Bolsonaro family and democracyOctober 2026
  161. [V]

    STF - Final on 3 Oct 2026 with execution ordered.

    6.2 Bolsonaro family and democracyOctober 2026
  162. [V-s]

    (ConJur PDF blocked, 403) - Paulo Figueiredo (commentator, Eduardo's partner in the US lobbying): - Charged by the PGR in the coup case but not yet a defendant the STF is awaiting a US reply to a letter rogatory (pending 10+ months as of Aug 2026).

    6.2 Bolsonaro family and democracyOctober 2026
  163. [V-s]

    EM - About R$4.9–5m in the federal tax-debt register from 2020 Lava Jato "Armadeira 2" assessments, which he says were wrongly issued.

    6.2 Bolsonaro family and democracyOctober 2026
  164. [V-s]

    Estadão - Bought a US$1.2m house in Clermont, FL, in Nov 2025, saying it is financed.

    6.2 Bolsonaro family and democracyOctober 2026
  165. [V-s]

    Agência Pública/ICL - The 26 May 2026 photo-op: Flávio, Eduardo and Figueiredo went to the Oval Office.

    6.2 Bolsonaro family and democracyOctober 2026
  166. [V]

    g1; Aos Fatos; g1 Fato ou Fake - The Abin assessment (as an assessment, not a finding): - Report: a confidential Abin report, "Ameaças ao processo eleitoral de 2026" sent in late Aug to the Presidency, TSE and Justice Ministry.

    6.2 Bolsonaro family and democracyOctober 2026
  167. [V]

    TSE (text read via search; direct fetch 403)

    6.2 Bolsonaro family and democracyOctober 2026
  168. [V-s]

    The final notice's extracted text does not name Pix itself; the Pix-specific finding comes from USTR's fact sheet and coverage

    6.3 US trade pressure and security designationsOctober 2026
  169. [V-s]

    Coverage says it asked for "competitive neutrality" for Pix, not its abolition

    6.3 US trade pressure and security designationsOctober 2026
  170. [V]

    State Dept; Federal Register; Metrópoles - Not re-checked in v9: the STF ruling on Marco Civil art.

    6.3 US trade pressure and security designationsOctober 2026
  171. [V]

    Estadão; Estadão/Lula; Folha (Bergamo) quoting the election clause.

    6.4 ResourcesOctober 2026
  172. [V]

    g1; Folha/FT - Offtake: on 20 Apr 2026 Serra Verde signed a 15-year, 100% Phase I offtake with a US-government-capitalised SPV, with price floors for Nd, Pr, Dy and Tb.

    6.4 ResourcesOctober 2026
  173. [V-s]

    USAR - Goiás vs the federal government: Governor Caiado's team met Deputy Secretary of State Christopher Landau in Feb 2026 and signed a state-level MoU with the US in March

    6.4 ResourcesOctober 2026
  174. [V]

    Federal minister Márcio Elias Rosa replied: "Brazil's subsoil belongs to the Union… and whoever establishes relations with other countries is the Union." Valor International; Agência Brasil

    6.4 ResourcesOctober 2026
  175. [V-s]

    Nexo - The "Prosperity Partnership" deck (re-labelled in v9): - Author: André Marinho (Novo candidate for Rio governor; son of Paulo Marinho, Flávio's Senate alternate ).

    6.4 ResourcesOctober 2026
  176. [V][V-s]

    CNN Brasil (authorship and denial); EM; Opera Mundi (original: Amado Mundo, not directly reachable)

    6.4 ResourcesOctober 2026
  177. [V][V-s]

    Folha, 26 Sept; Folha, 1 Oct; Intercept Brasil; CNN Brasil (PT petition)

    6.4 ResourcesOctober 2026
  178. [V-s]

    White House; Transparencia Venezuela; EncuadreVe

    6.4 ResourcesOctober 2026
  179. [R]

    Trump's reported remarks on Iranian oil and "20 tankers" are

    6.4 ResourcesOctober 2026
  180. [V-s]

    The 2026 count (213 + 26) is the register page was fetched but the count was not parsed.

    6.5 EvangelicalsOctober 2026
  181. [V]

    SciELO, Genealogia do sionismo evangélico BBC Brasil (Israeli flags at rallies, the term "Christian Zionism")

    6.5 EvangelicalsOctober 2026
  182. [V]

    g1; Agência Brasil - Lagoinha (Belo Horizonte megachurch network): its pastor Zettel is the money link between Vorcaro and Jair's 2022 campaign (6.1).

    6.5 EvangelicalsOctober 2026
  183. [V]

    CEBRI; Pública - CPAC Brasil 2024 (Balneário Camboriú, 6–7 Jul 2024): the PL's Instituto Álvaro Valle paid R$250k on 1 Jul 2024 into the Instituto Conservador Liberal chaired by Eduardo.

    6.6 Regional networkOctober 2026
  184. [R]

    Gettr's sponsorship of 2022–23 events was not confirmed in the fetched text and is downgraded to

    6.6 Regional networkOctober 2026
  185. [R]

    - Milei and the Colombian election: Milei campaigned for Flávio (Gazeta headline)

    6.6 Regional networkOctober 2026
  186. [V-s][R]

    No workaround was used, so claims resting only on those sources stay or

    Direction 7: Latin America alignment and the data-center buildout (added v10, 17 Oct 2026)October 2026
  187. [V][V-s]

    JNE; Congreso; percentages (ONPE timed out)

    7.1 The premises, correctedOctober 2026
  188. [V]

    Cancillería; Reuters via Al-Monitor; El País Cali

    7.1 The premises, correctedOctober 2026
  189. [V][R]

    Cancillería, IRGC; Isaac Accords chart (undated, likely 2025); PCM Peru; 2020 date

    7.1 The premises, correctedOctober 2026
  190. [U]

    No organised evangelical bloc behind Milei documented

    7.2 Alignment map (17 Oct 2026)October 2026
  191. [V]

    Jerusalem embassy (14 Oct); FTA reinstated (13 Oct)

    7.2 Alignment map (17 Oct 2026)October 2026
  192. [V]

    Hezbollah (2020), IRGC (24 Sept 2026); not Hamas

    7.2 Alignment map (17 Oct 2026)October 2026
  193. [V]

    Flávio pledged accession to the Isaac Accords and an embassy move in 2027 (see 7.3)

    7.2 Alignment map (17 Oct 2026)October 2026
  194. [V]

    Genesis Prize release, 30 Jun 2026 - The event.

    7.3 A documented Christian Zionist parliamentary networkOctober 2026
  195. [V]

    Genesis Prize; The Media Line - Flávio Bolsonaro's keynote (primary text read).

    7.3 A documented Christian Zionist parliamentary networkOctober 2026
  196. [V]

    VEJA, full speech; CNN Brasil - Reading.

    7.3 A documented Christian Zionist parliamentary networkOctober 2026
  197. [V]

    Guardian; Wikipedia - On 22 Sept the coalition published a list of 24 target organisations including Brazil's PCC and CV

    7.4 Is Brazil being isolated?October 2026
  198. [V]

    Al Jazeera - So a coalition Brazil does not belong to has named groups operating on Brazilian soil.

    7.4 Is Brazil being isolated?October 2026
  199. [V][V-s]

    State; Chile Colombia - Pax Silica went to Argentina, Chile, Costa Rica, El Salvador and Panama; the AI Opportunities Declaration also to Paraguay; Peru signed an AI MoU.

    7.4 Is Brazil being isolated?October 2026
  200. [V]

    BNamericas - BNamericas: the US data-center push "has centered on countries more politically aligned with the US administration, such as Colombia, Paraguay, Argentina, Panama and Peru".

    7.4 Is Brazil being isolated?October 2026
  201. [V]

    State - The Summit of the Americas was postponed; the exclusions discussed were Cuba, Nicaragua and Venezuela, not Brazil.

    7.4 Is Brazil being isolated?October 2026
  202. [V-s]

    (UPI 403) - Direct engagement continues.

    7.4 Is Brazil being isolated?October 2026
  203. [V]

    Poder360; Mongabay - The government cloud hedges between blocs.

    7.4 Is Brazil being isolated?October 2026
  204. [V][V-s]

    TikTok; MPF; g1; Folha; Rest of World; Casa dos Ventos (Reuters 401)

    7.5 Data-center projects and oppositionOctober 2026
  205. [V][V-s][U]

    Brasil de Fato; Matinal; FNDC/CNDH; 2025 origin (Intercept Brasil 403); "77,760 m³/day" (not found in the source)

    7.5 Data-center projects and oppositionOctober 2026
  206. [U]

    Its outcome is not visible in the record

    7.5 Data-center projects and oppositionOctober 2026
  207. [U]

    Mapuche opposition to Patagonian AI data centers (not found in the sources read).

    7.5 Data-center projects and oppositionOctober 2026
  208. [V]

    USTDA, 29 Sept 2026; Gobernación del Atlántico; BNamericas

    7.5 Data-center projects and oppositionOctober 2026
  209. [V]

    Gaceta Ambiental, 17 Aug 2026 - The IACHR's rapporteur on economic and social rights (REDESCA) made similar recommendations in Feb 2026.

    7.5 Data-center projects and oppositionOctober 2026
  210. [V]

    Federal Register, 10 Apr 2026 - USTDA (Colombia): "advancing trusted, U.S.-aligned digital infrastructure", positioning US firms, and "U.S.-made advanced computing systems… protecting systems against malign influence".

    7.6 The security framing: trusted stack, CLOUD Act, TCUOctober 2026
  211. [V]

    USTDA - Pax Silica (State, Dec 2025): "reducing excessive dependencies" and "protecting critical infrastructure from improper access".

    7.6 The security framing: trusted stack, CLOUD Act, TCUOctober 2026
  212. [V]

    BNamericas - Peru: Ambassador Navarro said, "in a reference to China", that AI from extra-hemispheric suppliers represents a national security threat

    7.6 The security framing: trusted stack, CLOUD Act, TCUOctober 2026
  213. [V]

    BNamericas - The competitor: BNamericas says Huawei runs 12 data centers in the region and offers 30% discounts on its AI models.

    7.6 The security framing: trusted stack, CLOUD Act, TCUOctober 2026
  214. [V]

    BNamericas (company-level claim, not independently checked)

    7.6 The security framing: trusted stack, CLOUD Act, TCUOctober 2026
  215. [V]

    ruling PDF - The CLOUD Act finding (para 101).

    7.6 The security framing: trusted stack, CLOUD Act, TCUOctober 2026
  216. [V]

    - Palantir: beyond the Satellogic link (Direction 4), no Palantir hosting or Latin American government data-center contract was found.

    7.6 The security framing: trusted stack, CLOUD Act, TCUOctober 2026
  217. [V-s]

    Reuters treated it as an energy deal (May 2026)

    7.7 How the press covers itOctober 2026
  218. [V]

    Broken by Mongabay and Intercept Brasil (Pulitzer AI Accountability Network), with the 68-project database

    7.7 How the press covers itOctober 2026
  219. [U]

    Not checked (Estadão and O Globo framing not fetched)

    7.7 How the press covers itOctober 2026
  220. [V][V-s]

    Intercept Brasil (2025) Brasil de Fato, Matinal, CNDH

    7.7 How the press covers itOctober 2026
  221. [R]

    The business press covered the announcement

    7.7 How the press covers itOctober 2026
  222. [V]

    Chequeado (a fact-checker) covered the lack of progress

    7.7 How the press covers itOctober 2026
  223. [V]

    DCW Q1 - Q2 2026: 45 projects (~US$68bn).

    7.8 US opposition contextOctober 2026
  224. [V]

    DCW Q2 - Groups and local fights: 840+ groups in every state except Hawaii

    7.8 US opposition contextOctober 2026
  225. [V]

    Bisnow - Recent moratoria: Raleigh (7 Oct) and Milwaukee (13 Oct).

    7.8 US opposition contextOctober 2026
  226. [V-s]

    (datacenterdebate.org not fetched) - Caveat: Data Center Watch sells paid research, and its counts are not independently audited.

    7.8 US opposition contextOctober 2026
  227. [R]

    - Contrast with Latin America: US opposition works through local zoning, ratepayer politics and state legislatures

    7.8 US opposition contextOctober 2026
  228. [V]

    : the post was retrieved through the X API, and the public video was downloaded and machine-transcribed ( video/ automatic transcription, so minor wording errors are possible).

    7.8 US opposition contextOctober 2026
  229. [U]

    The hearing's venue and date are not identified in the clip

    7.8 US opposition contextOctober 2026
  230. [V]

    filing - The docket is not a data-center case.

    7.8 US opposition contextOctober 2026
  231. [V-s]

    He writes The Black Swan Files Substack and says it has 11,000+ subscribers

    7.8 US opposition contextOctober 2026
  232. [V]

    (self-described under oath) - What he asks for.

    7.8 US opposition contextOctober 2026
  233. [V]

    Digital China Summit / People's Posts and Telecommunications, 4 Aug 2025.

    7.8 US opposition contextOctober 2026
  234. [V][R]

    Rystad - The European claim is also doubtful: the EU's AI-gigafactories plan is centralised

    7.8 US opposition contextOctober 2026
  235. [V][V-s][R][U]

    Label counts in Direction 6: v8 had 1 37 8 2

    Appendix B: Verification log (v8 → v9, Direction 6)October 2026
  236. [V]

    The author is Marinho; he denies sending it or any commission; CNN Brasil for the authorship and denial

    Appendix B: Verification log (v8 → v9, Direction 6)October 2026
  237. [V][V-s][R][U]

    Label counts: the research note ( ) had 9 / 29 / 4 / 13

    Appendix D: Verification log (research note → v10, Direction 7)October 2026
  238. [V][V-s][R][U]

    Direction 7 in v10 has 142 / 28 / 7 / 17

    Appendix D: Verification log (research note → v10, Direction 7)October 2026