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2026

October 2026

What this doesn't show

Open page 18 in the dossier
  • Correlation isn't causation. Every "win" also served other drivers: Netanyahu's elections, Adelson-type donors (secular, Jewish), Republican hawks, and the long bipartisan US hostility to the ICC.
  • "For the evangelicals" is Trump's own framing of electoral credit, which is evidence of motive to please. It isn't proof that lobbying by these groups produced the decision.
  • No single bloc. CREC postmillennialists (Hegseth) and dispensationalists (Hagee) hold different theologies, and young evangelicals are diverging.
  • Not covered here: Jewish American organizations' lobbying (AIPAC and others), which is a separate, largely secular channel. This report deliberately doesn't merge the two.